In sports betting, everyone has his own method or strategy. The interesting question then is : What is a good method ?
In fact, the answer under a pragmatic point of view is very simple: A method is good when it leads to a positive balance after a reasonable number of implementation. When this number is not reasonable, the application of the method can generate major disruptions, rather dangerous, when the stakes are high.
The simplest method is to operate at random, instinctively and without specific rule. The 6th sense is an innate faculty that leads to often give good answers without reasoning, on simple questions of the type of Heads or Tails. Some people are well equipped permanently or temporarily. For more sophisticated questions like: Which team will win the match between Rubin Kazan and Hapoel Tel Aviv, knowing that Rubin Kazan plays at home and had beaten Barcelona (best team of the moment) ? Reasoning is necessary to know if Rubin Kazan has its full strength and if the game conditions are normal, and lead to a thoughtful prediction (6th sense is not need in this case).
What can Science do in all this matter ? The probability calculations can determine the average number of implementation of a method between 2 earnings. The higher the number, the higher the risk of the method is important. Example: If the method adopted is that of Heads or Tails, then in a statistical sense there will be much chance of winning than losing. Finally, we will make a zero balance. Overall, probability calculations can help determine the risk of a method. Thus, it is known in advance how much average time, it will take before you win.
In conclusion, it is possible to choose methods depending on the time that, we want to take between 2 earnings. That helps manage our challenge, as visual navigation is rarely a good strategy.
